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Dr Adrian Laurence Family & Lifestyle Medicine

The 5-minute writing exercise that measurably increased optimism in a randomised trial

Five minutes a day, two weeks of guided imagery. Tested in randomised trials and meta-analyses for effects on optimism. Modest but consistent. Research, not treatment.

By Dr Adrian Laurence 8 min read 3 references

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The exercise covered in this article is a wellbeing practice with modest research support, not a treatment for depression, anxiety, or any clinical mental-health condition.


There is a simple writing-and-imagery exercise. Five minutes a day, two weeks. That has been tested in randomised trials and pooled in meta-analyses. The published evidence on its effect on optimism, wellbeing, and positive affect is small-to-moderate but consistent. The exercise is also free and self-administered.

This article is a summary of published research. It is not a clinical recommendation. It is not a treatment for depression, anxiety, or any other mental-health condition. Anyone with persistent symptoms or any thoughts of self-harm needs to speak to a doctor or mental-health professional, not work through a self-help exercise.

Why optimism matters at a population level

When researchers measure optimism, they are not measuring a personality type that finds the silver lining in everything. They are measuring a specific construct: a person’s overall expectation that future events will go reasonably well.

A 2019 study in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences3 looked at this trait in two large prospective cohorts. Women from the Nurses’ Health Study (about 10 years of follow-up) and men from the VA Normative Aging Study (about 30 years of follow-up). After adjustment for demographics and health conditions:

  • Women in the highest optimism quartile had 1.5-fold greater odds of surviving to age 85 compared with women in the lowest quartile.
  • Men in the highest quartile had 1.7-fold greater odds of surviving to age 85.
  • The relationship was dose-dependent (higher optimism, longer life), with P trend < 0.01.

The authors are careful with the conclusion: optimism appears modifiable, and the association suggests it may be a useful target to test for longevity-promotion strategies. Whether changing optimism through interventions also changes longevity is a harder question that prospective trials would need to answer.

The 2019 PNAS finding is an association from observational research, not direct causal proof. It is meaningful enough, replicated across two independent cohorts of different sizes and durations, to be worth taking seriously when thinking about modifiable contributors to long-term health.

The intervention research: best possible self imagery

A 2011 randomised study at Maastricht University, published in the Journal of Behavior Therapy and Experimental Psychiatry,1 compared two imagery exercises:

  • BPS group: vivid first-person imagery of one’s “best possible self” in the future, after working hard toward goals across three domains. Personal, relational, professional.
  • Control group: equally vivid imagery of typical daily activities

Both groups practised for 5 minutes a day over two weeks.

Findings:

  • The BPS group showed significantly larger increases in optimism compared with the daily-activities group.
  • This was true after a single session and across the full two weeks.
  • The effect on optimism remained after statistically controlling for changes in positive mood, which suggests it was an outlook shift, not only a temporary mood lift.

The study used self-report measures, which the authors flag as a limitation. Self-report is the standard method in this kind of research, but it is not the same as objectively measured behaviour change.

What the larger evidence base shows

A 2019 systematic review and meta-analysis published in PLOS One2 pooled 29 studies (26 articles, 2,909 participants) comparing the best possible self intervention with control conditions across multiple research groups and countries.

Effect sizes (d+; positive values mean the intervention outperformed controls):

  • Wellbeing: d+ = 0.325 (small-to-moderate)
  • Optimism: d+ = 0.334 (small-to-moderate)
  • Positive affect: d+ = 0.511 (moderate)
  • Negative affect and depressive symptoms: smaller effects

The honest interpretation: the effects are real and replicable, and they’re modest. That’s what would be expected from a brief, self-administered exercise compared with a more intensive intervention. What it isn’t is a clinical-grade treatment for any mental-health condition. Effects of this size are typical of structured wellbeing practices, not of psychotherapy or pharmacological treatment.

The meta-analysis also found that the best possible self exercise outperformed gratitude interventions on positive and negative affect, and that effects appeared in both younger and older participants.

Why imagined futures might shift outlook

Several proposed mechanisms have been described in the published literature. They are summarised here for context, not as therapeutic claims.

Detailed mental imagery activates many of the same neural pathways as actual experience. The brain processes vivid imagined scenarios as a kind of preview. Repeated, deliberate exposure to detailed positive future scenarios may shift the brain’s working estimate of how likely good outcomes are.

Pessimism, in this framing, is partly a learned estimate of how likely things are to go well. That estimate gets updated by the inputs the brain receives. The best possible self exercise is one input among many; it is unlikely to do much against an environment dominated by chronic stress, poor sleep, or distressing media consumption.

The meta-analytic evidence suggests the structured version produces effects that less structured “positive thinking” does not. The vividness, the present-tense framing, the multi-domain structure, and the repetition over weeks appear to be the active features.

What the protocol actually involves

The version most often tested in trials:

  1. Set aside 5 minutes a day, ideally at a consistent time.
  2. Write in first-person, present-tense, vivid detail a future version of yourself who has worked hard and achieved important goals across:
    • Personal (character, health, relationship with self)
    • Relational (partner, family, friendships)
    • Professional (work, contribution, sense of purpose)
  3. Repeat daily for two weeks.

The vividness and concreteness are part of the active ingredient. “I want to be healthier” is the wrong register. “I am moving freely. I sleep through the night. I have the energy to be present for the people I care about.” is closer to the kind of imagery the trials tested.

Important limits

  • This is a wellbeing practice, not a clinical treatment. It has not been tested as treatment for clinical depression or anxiety, and the effect sizes seen in healthy populations are modest.
  • The original trial used self-report measures, the standard method in this field but a known limitation.
  • Effects are group averages. Individual response varies. Some people notice nothing. The two-week timeframe is enough to find out whether the exercise shifts something for any specific person.
  • It does not replace addressing deeper drivers of low mood: chronic stress, poor sleep, alcohol, persistent distressing inputs.
  • It does not replace clinical care for any mental-health condition.

What this isn’t

This isn’t a substitute for medical or psychological care if something is genuinely wrong. Persistent low mood, loss of interest, sleep or appetite changes, difficulty functioning, or any thoughts of self-harm need a conversation with a treating doctor or mental-health professional, not a writing exercise.

It also isn’t a replacement for fixing the underlying drivers of a pessimistic outlook where they are present. Chronic stress, sleep debt, alcohol use, and a media diet engineered for outrage all influence baseline mood in ways the best possible self exercise on its own won’t fix.

What it is: a brief, free, self-administered practice with a small but consistent evidence base, sitting in the wellbeing rather than the clinical-treatment category. Two weeks is a reasonable trial period to find out whether it produces any noticeable shift in outlook for any specific person.

Frequently asked questions

What is the 'best possible self' exercise?

A 5-minute imagery exercise developed in positive-psychology research. Participants imagine, in vivid first-person detail, a future version of themselves who has worked hard and achieved their most important goals across three domains: personal (character, health, relationship with self), relational (partner, family, friends), and professional (work, contribution, sense of purpose). Writing the imagery down rather than only thinking it through is the version most studies have tested. The exercise is repeated daily for two weeks in the canonical protocol.

What did the original 2011 study find?

A randomised study at Maastricht University compared BPS imagery (5 minutes per day for 2 weeks) with a control condition where participants imagined their typical daily activities in equally vivid detail. The BPS group showed significantly larger increases in optimism after one session and over the full two weeks. The effect on optimism remained after controlling for changes in positive mood, suggesting the change was a shift in outlook rather than only a temporary mood lift. The study used self-report measures, which is a known limitation.

How strong is the broader evidence?

A 2019 systematic review and meta-analysis published in PLOS One pooled 29 studies (2,909 participants) and found small-to-moderate effect sizes for wellbeing (d+=.325), optimism (d+=.334), and positive affect (d+=.511) compared with control conditions. Effects on negative affect and depressive symptoms were smaller. Effect sizes in this range are typical for brief, self-administered exercises. The meta-analysis suggests the effect is real and replicable across multiple research groups, even if modest in size.

Is optimism actually linked to living longer?

A 2019 study in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences followed two large cohorts: women from the Nurses' Health Study and men from the VA Normative Aging Study, with follow-up of about 10 and 30 years respectively. After adjustment for demographics and health conditions, women in the highest optimism quartile had 1.5-fold and men had 1.7-fold greater odds of surviving to age 85 compared with those in the lowest quartile. The relationship was dose-dependent. Whether changing optimism through interventions also changes longevity is a separate, harder question. The PNAS study established the association, not direct causal proof, but the authors note that since optimism is modifiable, it may be a useful target to test.

Why might imagining a good future change anything?

Several proposed mechanisms appear in the literature. Detailed mental imagery activates many of the same neural pathways as actual experience, so the brain processes vivid imagined scenarios as a kind of preview. Repeated, deliberate exposure to detailed positive future scenarios may shift the brain's working estimate of how likely good outcomes are. The vividness and concreteness are part of what differentiates the BPS exercise from generic 'positive thinking,' and meta-analytic findings suggest the structured version produces effects that less structured approaches do not. None of these mechanisms is the whole story.

Is this a treatment for depression or anxiety?

No. The best possible self exercise is a wellbeing practice with research support for modest effects on optimism and positive affect. It is not an evidence-based treatment for clinical depression, anxiety disorders, or any other mental-health condition. Anyone with persistent low mood, loss of interest, sleep or appetite changes, difficulty functioning, or any thoughts of self-harm or suicide should be working with a treating doctor or mental-health professional. An article cannot replace clinical assessment.

How do I do it?

The protocol used in the original 2011 trial: set aside 5 minutes a day, ideally at a consistent time. Write in first-person, present-tense detail a vivid picture of yourself in the future who has worked hard and achieved your most important goals across the three domains: personal, relational, professional. The vividness and concreteness are the active ingredients; lists of abstract wishes are not what the trial tested. Repeat daily for two weeks. The exercise is a wellbeing practice; whether it shifts something for any individual varies, and people experiencing significant distress should speak to their own doctor rather than relying on a self-administered exercise.

References

  1. 1.
    Become more optimistic by imagining a best possible self: effects of a two week intervention · Meevissen YM, Peters ML, Alberts HJ. · Journal of Behavior Therapy and Experimental Psychiatry (2011) PubMed PMID 21450262
  2. 2.
    Effects of the Best Possible Self intervention: A systematic review and meta-analysis · Carrillo A, Rubio-Aparicio M, Molinari G, Enrique Á, Sánchez-Meca J, Baños RM. · PLOS One (2019) PubMed PMID 31545815
  3. 3.
    Optimism is associated with exceptional longevity in 2 epidemiologic cohorts of men and women · Lee LO, James P, Zevon ES, Kim ES, Trudel-Fitzgerald C, Spiro A, Grodstein F, Kubzansky LD. · PNAS (2019) PubMed PMID 31451635